Por:
María Isabel Cardona Balanta
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Fecha:
2019
Know _the volume and structure of a population facilitates decision making in terms of public policy, therefore, for each territorial entity it is necessary to know the characteristics of its population, to plan and quantify the demands of goods and seNices
(health, education, employment, etc.) in the short, medium and long term.
The interest of this work, beyond carrying out an exercise that results in the projection of the volume and structure of the
population, is to analyze the consistency of the official population projections produced by the National Administrative
Department of Statistics -DANE, in the light of behaviors obseNed by different sources of information, also official, but that
seem to have differences with the demographic dynamics expected in the population calculations of DANE, without ignoring that
any long term projection is uncertain in terms of volume and structure.
This document presents an analysis of the three fundamental components of the demographic dynamics (fecundity, mortality
and migration) of the city of Bogotá, with information from different sources, which are used in the following chapters as an essential input for the calculation of scenarios of population projections between the years 2006-2020.