Abstract: Background: Seasonal Influenza is considered to be a cyclic and ordered sequence of values, influenced by external factors that can be predicted and used to detect disease outbreaks and monitoring. In machine learning, the key challenges that limit these analyses are in model explainability and limitations associated with ecological bias. Aim: Determine the best environmental variable selection method to predict Seasonal Influenza in Norway, using an environmental medicine approach combined with machine learning techniques. Methods: This is a quasi-experimental study that compares three approaches (non-variable selection, isolate component, and multipollutant mixture), represented in five methods (univariable, bivariable, multivariable AME, multivariable PCA, multivariable LDA). Per method, the best co-variable combination will be performed, following the internal rules of each method. The best covariable combination is the result of three components: variable selection, validation data set and lag. The first one involves 13 environmental variables (temperature, relative humidity, specific humidity, air pressure, wind speed, precipitation, CO, NO, NO2, O3, PM10, PM2,5 and SO2); second one compares a test dataset compiled from the data from 2019, last year (2018) and a synthetic environmental (avg. 2013-2018) data set in the validation process; and the third one compares a combination of lag from 0 to 12. All the predictions are made using ARIMA algorithm. The evaluation is given in terms of MAE, MSE, RMSE, OR. The training set is from 2 Jun 2013 (week 22/2013) to 28 May 2018 (week 21/2018), and test set is from (week 22/2018) to (week 21/2019) with a window of predictions of 52 weeks. Results: The increment of dimensionality in the environmental variable selection introduce different noise levels and optimize the prediction. Considerations that impact the explainability, usability, ecological bias and performance will be described. Conclusion: The increment of dimensionality in the variable selection has a better impact on performance than using complex algorithms.

In 2007, Mexico City legalized abortion in the first 12 weeks of pregnancy. By doing so, it became the first and only state in Mexico where abortion on demand is legal. In this paper, I use this natural experiment to estimate the effects of abortion legalization on child and maternal health. I perform Difference-In-Differences estimates using information from all births and deaths occurred between 2002 and 2012. My findings suggest that the change in the abortion legislation in Mexico City reduced the Infant Mortality Rate and the Under 5 Mortality Rate by approximately 2.3 and 2.4 deaths per 1,000 live births, respectively. Moreover, for the Maternal Mortality Rate I find that the estimations range from -5.49 to -6 deaths per 100,000 live births. These results are validated by the use of a more accurate control group generated by the Synthetic Control Method. To the best of my knowledge, this if the first paper that attempts to examine the effects of abortion legalization in Mexico City on child health. En el 2007, Ciudad de México legalizó el aborto en las 12 primeras semanas de gestación. Al hacerlo, se convirtió en el primero y único estado del país en donde el aborto voluntario es legal. En este artículo utilizo este experimento natural para estimar los efectos de la legalización del aborto en la salud materno infantil. Realizo estimaciones de Diferencias en Diferencias utilizando información de todos los nacimientos y muertes ocurridos entre 2002 y 2012. Mis hallazgos sugieren que el cambio en la legislación relativa el aborto en la Ciudad de México redujo la tasa de mortalidad Infantil y la tasa de mortalidad en menores de 5 años en aproximadamente 2.3 y 2.4 muertes por cada 1.000 nacidos vivos, respectivamente. Además, para la tasa de mortalidad materna, encuentro que las estimaciones oscilan entre -5,49 y -6 muertes por 100.000 nacidos vivos. Estos resultados se validan mediante el uso de un grupo de control más preciso, utilizando la metodología de control sintético. Según mi conocimiento, este es el primer artículo que intenta examinar los efectos de la legalización del aborto en la Ciudad de México sobre la salud infantil.

Abstract: At the present time, climate change and antimicrobial resistance are considered as the most critical threats, affecting human, animal, plant, and environmental health. Although these terms may initially appear different, they are interconnected and share similarities in their causes (human interventions and natural cycles), health, and societal consequences. Climate change is associated through direct and indirect pathways with an increase in infectious diseases. Nonetheless, the association between global warming and antimicrobial resistance requires a comprehensive summary of evidence exploring it. Methods: A literature review was conducted to identify and describe the association between climate change and the rapid emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance. The search was conducted in the following databases: PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, Epistemonikos, and Google Scholar. The search period was restricted to articles published from January 2010 to June 2021. Additionally, a snowballing approach was conducted to identify any additional papers. Data extraction included study location, weather factors, environmental elements, antibiotics, and bacteria analysed, as well as the results. Results: 29 articles were included (ten literature or systematic reviews, eight experimental, six ecological, four observational, and one quasi-experimental). In terms of location, all the studies were conducted in countries between 35° and 75° north latitude. The results suggested some evidence of the effects of climate change (alterations in temperature, precipitation, and humidity) on the emergence and rapid spread of antimicrobial resistance in different environments (water, soil, cryosphere, and air). Temperature was described as a main effect of climate change that had effects on antibiotic resistance (increasing bacteria growth, altering metabolism, inducing crossprotection, and facilitating horizontal gene transfer between bacteria). Additionally, results also described the association between altered rain patterns and humidity and antimicrobial resistance, through the runoff of antibiotic molecules or the transport of antibiotic resistance mechanisms to other areas. Conclusions: This literature review has underscored the association between climate change and antimicrobial resistance. According to the results shown in the selected studies, the alterations in weather factors resulting from climate change have varying effects on the emergence and spread of antibiotic resistance. However, further research is imperative to decipher the complex interactions between other environmental processes, pollutants, patterns of antibiotic consumption, wastewater, animal migration, and regions below the latitudes covered in this literature review.

Abstract: Quantitative analysis of ventricular cerebrospinal fluid (vCSF) proteins following acute brain injury (ABI) may help identify pathophysiological pathways and potential biomarkers that can predict unfavorable outcome. In this prospective proteomic analysis study, consecutive patients with severe ABI expected to require intraventricular catheterization for intracranial pressure (ICP) monitoring for at least 5 days and patients without ABI admitted for elective clipping of an unruptured cerebral aneurysm were included. vCSF samples were collected within the first 24 h after ABI and ventriculostomy insertion and then every 24 h for 5 days. Data-independent acquisition and sequential window acquisition of all theoretical spectra (SWATH) mass spectrometry were used to compare differences in protein expression in patients with ABI and patients without ABI and in patients with traumatic and nontraumatic ABI. We included 50 patients with ABI (SAH n = 23, TBI n = 15, intracranial hemorrhage n = 6, ischemic stroke n = 3, others n = 3) and 12 patients without ABI. There were significant differences in the expression of 255 proteins between patients with and without ABI (p < 0.01). There were intraday and interday differences in expression of seven proteins related to increased inflammation, apoptosis, oxidative stress, and cellular response to hypoxia and injury. Among these, glial fibrillary acidic protein expression was higher in patients with ABI with severe intracranial hypertension (ICH) (ICP ? 30 mm Hg) or death compared to those without (log 2 fold change: +2.4; p < 0.001), suggesting extensive primary astroglial injury or death. Dysregulated vCSF protein expression after ABI may be associated with an increased risk of severe ICH and death. Resumen: El análisis cuantitativo de las proteínas en el líquido cefalorraquídeo ventricular (vLCR) después de una lesión cerebral aguda (LCA) puede ayudar a identificar vías fisiopatológicas y posibles biomarcadores que pueden predecir un resultado desfavorable. En este estudio prospectivo de análisis proteómico, se incluyeron pacientes consecutivos con LCA grave que se esperaba que necesitaran cateterismo intraventricular cerebral para monitorizar la presión intracraneal (PIC) durante al menos 5 días y pacientes sin LCA ingresados para clipaje electivo de un aneurisma cerebral no roto. Las muestras de vCSF se recolectaron dentro de las primeras 24 h después de la inserción del ITB y la ventriculostomía y luego cada 24 h durante 5 días. Se utilizó la espectrometría de masas de adquisición independiente de datos y adquisición de ventana secuencial de todos los espectros teóricos (SWATH) para comparar las diferencias en la expresión de proteínas en pacientes con LCA y pacientes sin LCA y en pacientes con LCA traumática y no traumática. Se incluyeron 50 pacientes con LCA (HSA n = 23, TCE n = 15, hemorragia intracraneal n = 6, ictus isquémico n = 3, otros n = 3) y 12 pacientes sin LCA. Hubo diferencias significativas en la expresión de 255 proteínas entre pacientes con y sin LCA (p <0,01). Hubo diferencias intradía e interdía en la expresión de siete proteínas relacionadas con el aumento de la inflamación, la apoptosis, el estrés oxidativo y la respuesta celular a la hipoxia y las lesiones. Entre estos, la expresión de la proteína ácida fibrilar glial fue mayor en pacientes con LCA con hipertensión intracraneal (HIC) grave (PIC ? 30 mm Hg) o muerte en comparación con aquellos sin (cambio log 2 veces: + 2,4; p < 0,001), lo que sugiere una extensa Lesión astroglial primaria. La expresión desregulada de las proteínas en el vLCR después de una LCA puede estar asociada con un mayor riesgo de HIC grave y muerte.

Abstract: Background: Allergic rhinitis may affect up to 50% of children. Treatment options include allergen avoidance, pharmacotherapy, immunotherapy and multimodal therapies. Nasal saline douching is well established in the treatment of allergic rhinitis in adults, and has recently gained more acceptability in children as the evidence builds for its effectiveness in this age group. To date, however, there is limited data regarding the acceptability and tolerability of nasal saline douching in children with allergic rhinitis. Methods: A search was conducted using Medline and Embase databases from January 1946 until June 2015 on the use of nasal douching in children aged 4 to 12 with allergic rhinitis. All publications identified that assessed the beneficial effects, acceptability and tolerability were included. The evaluation focused on primary (proportion of patients who adopted nasal douching routinely, symptom and quality of life scores) and secondary outcome measures (effects related to delivered method, dose, technique, and frequency of administration). Results: 35 studies were analyzed. Data varied considerably in terms of saline solutions used, modality of application, participant numbers, study design, follow up and outcomes. Factors that appear to influence the acceptability and tolerability of nasal saline douching are parental and health professionals’ preconceptions, and characteristics of the solution. Overall nasal saline irrigation appears to have a positive impact on quality of life, being accepted and tolerated in the majority of children (78-100%). Conclusions: Nasal saline douching has a significant positive impact on the quality of life in children aged 4 to 12 with allergic rhinitis. Among the principal factors that influence acceptability and tolerability of this therapy are the child´s age, delivery system and method, and tonicity. Encouragement and reinforcement is vital to successful compliance. Saline nasal douching provides an accessible, low cost, low morbidity, easy to use treatment that could be standardized as part of allergic rhinitis management in children. Resumen: Antecedentes: La rinitis alérgica puede afectar hasta el 50% de los niños. Las opciones de tratamiento incluyen evitar el alergeno, la farmacoterapia, la inmunoterapia y las terapias multimodales. La aplicación de la solución salina nasal hace parte del tratamiento de la rinitis alérgica en adultos, y recientemente ha ganado más aceptación en los niños a medida que la evidencia demuestra su eficacia en este grupo etario. Hasta la fecha, sin embargo, hay datos limitados en cuanto a la aceptabilidad y la tolerabilidad de la solución salina nasal en niños con rinitis alérgica. Métodos: Se realizó una búsqueda a través de Medline y EMBASE desde enero de 1946 hasta junio de 2015 sobre el uso de solución salina nasal en niños de 4 a 12 años con rinitis alérgica. Todas las publicaciones identificadas que evaluaron los efectos beneficiosos, la aceptabilidad y la tolerabilidad, fueron incluidas. La evaluación se centró en resultados primarios (proporción de pacientes que adoptaron las duchas nasales de forma rutinaria, los síntomas y la calidad de vida de las puntuaciones) y resultados secundarios (efectos relacionados con el método de entrega, la dosis, la técnica y la frecuencia de administración). Resultados: Se analizaron 35 estudios. Los datos variaron considerablemente en términos de soluciones salinas utilizadas, modalidad de aplicación, el número de participantes, el diseño del estudio, el seguimiento y resultados. Los factores que parecen influir en la aceptabilidad y la tolerabilidad de la solución salina nasal son las ideas preconcebidas de los padres y profesionales de la salud, y las características de la solución. En general, la irrigación salina nasal parece tener un impacto positivo en la calidad de vida, siendo aceptado y tolerado en la mayoría de los niños (78-100%). Conclusiones: La solución salina nasal tiene un impacto significativamente positivo en la calidad de vida en niños de 4 a 12 años con rinitis alérgica. Entre los principales factores que influyen en la aceptabilidad y la tolerabilidad de esta terapia son la edad del niño, el sistema de entrega y su forma, así como la tonicidad de la solución. El estímulo y refuerzo de este hábito como parte de la terapia, es vital para su adherencia. La solución salina nasal proporciona una terapia de bajo costo, accesible, de baja morbilidad, y fácil de usar que podría ser estandarizada como parte del tratamiento de la rinitis alérgica en niños.

Este libro aborda las principales características del dolor, su evaluación y la intervención desde un punto de vista biopsicosocial. Pone énfasis en cómo seguir con la vida pese al dolor, sobre la base de los valores y objetivos de la persona, y con una mirada positiva de la vida y las capacidades para manejar el dolor. Los contenidos incluyen respuestas a preguntas que se podría hacer una persona con dolor, y se ofrecen reflexiones de forma directa. Esta obra pretende ser de utilidad para personas con dolor, para profesionales de la salud y también para todo aquel que esté interesado en este tema.

Desde la época primitiva los materiales han sido un factor determinante en el desarrollo de la sociedad actual. Las eras de piedra, cobre, bronce y hierro, fueron fundamentales para la sobrevivencia del hombre. La época de la revolución industrial y la era del consumismo, han tenido una preponderancia importante en el desarrollo de los materiales en el mundo. La necesidad de someter pueblos y de ser los mejores comerciantes en diferentes épocas de la humanidad, han determinado la creación de diferentes materiales de toda índole, pasando por maderas, hierro, bronce, concreto, aluminio, latón, caucho,...

Abstract: Objective: To investigate opportunities for task shifting to decongest an outpatient neurology clinic in Zambia by describing current patient flow through the clinic and potential nodes for intervention using process mapping. Background: Zambia has a population of approximately 18 million people with 4 full-time adult neurologists, as of 2018, who all practice at the University Teaching Hospital (UTH), the main tertiary care center in the country. As a result of this provider-to-patient ratio, the outpatient neurology clinic is overcrowded and overbooked. Task-shifting programs have shown to improve efficiency, access and quality of care through the use of less specialized healthcare workers in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Methods: We evaluated patient flow in the UTH neurology outpatient clinic through the development and analysis of a process map. The characteristics of the clinic population between 2014 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed from the clinic register. Between July and August 2018, we prospectively collected appointment lag times and time each patient spent waiting at various points in the clinic process. We conducted interviews with clinic staff and neurologists to generate a detailed process map of current pathways to care within the clinic. We then devised task- shifting strategies to help reduce patient wait times based on the overview of clinic process mapping and patient demographics. Results: From 2014 to 2018, there were 4701 outpatients seen in the neurology clinic. The most common neurologi- cal diagnoses were epilepsy (39.2%), headache (21.5%) and cerebrovascular disease (16.7%). During prospective data collection, patients waited an average of 57.8 (SD 73.4) days to be seen by a neurologist. The average wait time from arrival in the clinic to departure was 4.0 (SD 2.5) h. The process map and interviews with clinic staff revealed long waiting times due to a paucity of providers. Nurses and clerks represent an influential stakeholder group, but are not actively involved in any activity to reduce wait times. A large proportion of follow-up patients were stable and seen solely to obtain medication refills. Conclusions: Epilepsy, headache, and stroke make up the largest percentage of outpatient neurological illness in Zambia. Targeting stable patients in these diagnostic categories for a task-shifting intervention may lead to substan- tially decreased patient wait times. Potential interventions include shifting clinical follow-ups and medication refills to less specialized healthcare workers.

Abstract: Objective: To investigate opportunities for task shifting to decongest an outpatient neurology clinic in Zambia by describing current patient flow through the clinic and potential nodes for intervention using process mapping. Background: Zambia has a population of approximately 18 million people with 4 full-time adult neurologists, as of 2018, who all practice at the University Teaching Hospital (UTH), the main tertiary care center in the country. As a result of this provider-to-patient ratio, the outpatient neurology clinic is overcrowded and overbooked. Task-shifting programs have shown to improve efficiency, access and quality of care through the use of less specialized healthcare workers in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Methods: We evaluated patient flow in the UTH neurology outpatient clinic through the development and analysis of a process map. The characteristics of the clinic population between 2014 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed from the clinic register. Between July and August 2018, we prospectively collected appointment lag times and time each patient spent waiting at various points in the clinic process. We conducted interviews with clinic staff and neurologists to generate a detailed process map of current pathways to care within the clinic. We then devised task- shifting strategies to help reduce patient wait times based on the overview of clinic process mapping and patient demographics. Results: From 2014 to 2018, there were 4701 outpatients seen in the neurology clinic. The most common neurologi- cal diagnoses were epilepsy (39.2%), headache (21.5%) and cerebrovascular disease (16.7%). During prospective data collection, patients waited an average of 57.8 (SD 73.4) days to be seen by a neurologist. The average wait time from arrival in the clinic to departure was 4.0 (SD 2.5) h. The process map and interviews with clinic staff revealed long waiting times due to a paucity of providers. Nurses and clerks represent an influential stakeholder group, but are not actively involved in any activity to reduce wait times. A large proportion of follow-up patients were stable and seen solely to obtain medication refills. Conclusions: Epilepsy, headache, and stroke make up the largest percentage of outpatient neurological illness in Zambia. Targeting stable patients in these diagnostic categories for a task-shifting intervention may lead to substan- tially decreased patient wait times. Potential interventions include shifting clinical follow-ups and medication refills to less specialized healthcare workers.

Abstract: The cell envelope is essential for the survival and adaptation of bacteria. Bacterial membrane proteins include the major porins that mediate the influx of nutrients and several classes of antimicrobial drugs. Consequently, membrane remodelling is closely linked to antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Knowledge of bacterial membrane protein biogenesis and turnover underpins our understanding of bacterial membrane remodelling and the consequences that this process has in the evolution of AMR phenotypes. At the population level, the evolution of phenotypes is a reversible process, and we can use these insights to deploy evolutionary principles to resensitize bacteria to existing antimicrobial drugs. In our opinion, fundamental knowledge is opening a new way of thinking towards sustainable solutions to the mounting crisis in AMR. Here we discuss what is known about outer-membrane remodelling in bacteria and how the process could be targeted as a means to restore sensitivity to antimicrobial drugs. Bacteriophages are highlighted as a powerful means to exert this control over membrane remodelling but they require careful selection so as to reverse, and not exacerbate AMR phenotypes.