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Por: Luz Yazmín Lizarazo Jiménez | Fecha: 2018

En la actualizad la industria del aguacate en el mundo ha cuadruplicado su producción en los últimos 40 años (ICA, 2012), llegando a 4.276.592 toneladas y 472.571 hectáreas en 2011 según datos oficiales de la - FAO. Colombia, participa con el 5.7% de la producción mundial y de acuerdo a la FAO es el quinto productor mundial. Sin embargo, en temas de comercialización internacional de aguacate las cifras de exportación no se relacionan directamente con el de producción. En la última década se ha desarrollado una industria tecnificada de aguacate con fines de exportación, que ahora se considera dentro de todos los tratados comerciales como uno de los productos de exportación desde Colombia. El "Aguacate Orgánico" en la Región Dibulla, proyecta un aporte efectivo al desarrollo económico y al bienestar de los habitantes rurales, coinciden en mostrar que las políticas públicas, el agricultor, las asociaciones, sector empresarial y academia son indispensables para el desarrollo del sector agropecuario.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: Ribelino Sánchez Sierra | Fecha: 2018

The study of future "Center of Thought and Police Doctrine to the year 2026" begins with the identification of a context or state of the art, that allows to know the real situation of the Thinking Center and the World Trends in front of the think tanks; in Latin America and Colombia in the face of the transformation of political and social conditions that affect the management of police institutions. Once the analysis of the information was exhausted, a process of participatory workshops was initiated with the officials that work in the Police Thinking and Doctrine Center in order to identify the strategic variables that marked the course of this investigation. Subsequently, a progressive procedure was established for the construction of scenarios to finally determine which is the most indicated with regard to global trends and the most important: the new reality of a country experiencing a post-conflict process, identifying in the scenario "AII for a new vision" the most appropriate to lead the National Police Thinking Center to be a leading think tank in the construction of the institutional vision and to contribute directly to the anticipatory capacity of the National Police.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Policía

Por: José Holver Vera Mogollón | Fecha: 2018

El presente trabajo de grado, trata del análisis prospectivo y estratégico de la Infantería de Marina de la República de Colombia al año 2030, mediante el cual se busca determinar el escenario más apropiado para la Infantería de Marina y definir las estrategias que permitan concretarlo, mediante el diseño y realización de un plan prospectivo estratégico de desarrollo.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: José Moisés Aguirre Sanabria | Fecha: 2018

Socar Engineering Ltda. is a Colombian company from the construction sector. lts purpose is to design and to implement road infrastructure, town planning, dwelling, mechanical and electronic assemblies. In order to develop a strategic foresight study for Socar Ltda. towards 2030's it was necessary to use two research sources: Primary sources of information through workshops with experts and secondary sources to know the current statement of the company and to understand global trends in the construction sector. Finally, based on robust prospective tools it was possible to define change factors and through their prioritization it was manageable to get strategic variables such as: financia! capability, recruiting processes, civil works markets, machinery, equipment, management and operation technologies. Social actors' power and approach were subsequently analyzed and possible and probable stages were designed. Additionally, a bet stage and outlook plan were formed. Finally, strategies were created to help the company to grow and be competitive in the demanding Colombian ahd Latin American market.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Ingeniería

Por: Camilo Andrés Rojas Pardo | Fecha: 2018

The prospective vision of the Tuluá 2035 Transport Center called "El Super-Transport" is based on six key variables for the future, these are: Customer Satisfaction, Terminal Services, Process Automation, Terminal Financial income, lntermodality and offer of services of transport companies. lt stresses the importance of articulating all the stakeholders in two future drivers the technological component! and modal exchange, to lead users to live new and better experiences when they want to move from one place to another. In addition to the staged scenario, three alternate scenarios are outlined: "the colored chapulín of the transport", "the batman of the transport" and "the Spiderman of the transport" that serve as reference as it wants that the future is not linear and it is necessary to illuminate the future for Take actions in the present. The study was carried out under the advanced methodology of prospective, voluntarist approach such as Michel Godet's presentation, using techniques such as structural analysis, stakeholder play, morphological analysis, Peter Schwartz axes, cross impact matrix and IGO. AII of them were part of the prospective workshops.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: Andrés Felipe Tamayo Tovar | Fecha: 2018

Conservas Delcasino is a family company consolidated in the Colombian market of sauces and dressings, which mainly through the products of the institutional channel, the financial statements of the company are healthy and there is growth in operating income and product diversification. The company has the opportunity to expand to other market segments in Colombia and in the world. Conservas Delcasino must invest in high technology for the development of production processes, packaging innovation and consumer and customer knowledge, in order to guarantee the survival of Conservas Delcasino by the year 2035. lt is essential that the company and its leaders convince themselves Of the importance of doing technological surveillance, obtaining or creating patents mainly for the food and packaging industry, because in this way the company will achieve the quality jumps that are required to face the challenges of the market.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: Yasnyr Estévez Quebradas | Fecha: 2018

The current project presents an analysis of future scenarios for Colombia 2037, for the fifteen global challenges proposed by "the Millennium Project". In the case of Colombia, a research for an international environment was developed and it was descended to the country, where according to a search on aspects of sustainable development and climate change, natural resources, new diseases, gender equity, global ethics, among others, it was analyzed aspects of the future and based on the prospective model, we were able to identify factors of change and strategic variables, to define a scenario for the future and propose strategies, objectives and concrete actions for each of the global challenges of Colombia.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: James Jilbert Lizarazo Barbosa | Fecha: 2018

El presente trabajo permite visualizar el escenario probable del sistema de Control Interno Colombiano a través del uso de las herramientas de prospectiva, El estado del arte recoge todos los elementos, factores y situaciones que rodean el Sistema de Control Interno en Colombia, asimismo recoge el análisis de los sistemas de control de otros países de Latinoamérica y Europa, también presenta las tendencias a futuro que afectan el sistema de control interno.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: Diana Alejandra Cubides Bothia | Fecha: 2018

The prospective analysis of IFC's Casanare Financial Institute will include a look at the future of the organization based on IFC's most relevant and representative information and a contribution from the technology watch, which will allow to make the most accurate decisions in the present for the construction of the future.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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Por: Sergio Andrés Lozano Niño | Fecha: 2018

El objetivo del estudio prospectivo que se pretende alcanzar en el presente trabajo de grado de la maestría en Pensamiento Estratégico y Prospectiva, es realizar el análisis del futuro empresarial de la empresa Nutri Tost S.A.S. al horizonte del año 2036 y reconocer las estrategias empresariales que estarán en manos de esta organización en la conducción por el camino de la innovación y la competitividad.

Fuente: Universidad Externado de Colombia Formatos de contenido: Tesis

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