The Climatic Disruption, Systems thinking to interpret migration and conflict under climatic constraints: the case study of Syria and its applicability to the Colombian context = La Perturbación Climática, Pensamiento sistémico para la interpretación de conflicto y migración en escenarios con restricciones climáticas: el caso de Siria y su aplicabilidad en el contexto Colombiano
Current policy-making understands human and ecological systems as independent, leading to the misconception that, though they interact, they can be managed separately. This often leads to policy overlooking the effects that the environment has on human structures, and vice versa. Under environmental stress, this disconnection may cause the community to fail, which can manifest in migration and conflict.
In a climate-change scenario, it becomes increasingly important to consider social and environmental structures as one single system, that must be managed as a unit. Also, increasing the resilience of socio-ecological systems becomes a priority to prevent climatic disruptions to cause the system to collapse.
This dissertation aims to learn from using systems thinking to interpret the Syrian crisis, following the 2006-2011 drought, and extract insights from using the same methodology in different contexts. This is done through the construction of two diagrams that help visualize socio-ecological system in a more accessible way, offering policy-makers an instrument to understand and manage socio-ecological systems more effectively.
Finally, it discusses how these lessons can be helpful for the post-conflict process in Colombia, which shares many structural flaws with pre-conflict Syria, and explores how the methodology can be useful to identify and address these flaws for sustainable peace-building.
Fuente:
Biblioteca Virtual Banco de la República
Formatos de contenido:
Tesis
